Bitcoin price surged above $106,000 on Monday, reclaiming ground lost during a volatile weekend that saw brief dips below $100,000 on Friday.
Despite early-week bearish pressure, buyers stepped in repeatedly at key support levels. Bitcoin price was up 1% in 24 hours throughout the day.
Over the past week, Bitcoin price flirted with the $100,000 threshold multiple times, dipping slightly below on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday. However, bulls quickly defended these levels, ensuring no daily close occurred under $100,000.
The 55-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $99,000 repeatedly acted as a reliable support floor, providing a strong foundation for the current rebound.
Technical analysts now point to $109,400 as the next Fibonacci resistance, with $111,000 serving as a more substantial barrier if Bitcoin can maintain its momentum. Beyond these levels, $116,000 is viewed as a decisive threshold that could shift market sentiment firmly in favor of bulls.
Institutional activity played a significant role in the recent rally. Strategy, the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder, disclosed a $49.9 million acquisition of 487 BTC last week, bringing its total holdings to 641,692 BTC, valued at over $47.5 billion.
This purchase, funded through multiple preferred stock offerings, represents Strategy’s largest acquisition since September and underscores the continued confidence of institutional players in Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset.
Strategy’s innovative use of preferred stock series — including its STRC “Stretch” shares — demonstrates a sustainable and systematic approach to corporate Bitcoin accumulation, providing a blueprint for other firms entering the space.
Market sentiment has been further influenced by broader macroeconomic conditions. Rumors surrounding a potential end to the U.S. federal government shutdown have bolstered investor confidence, suggesting that Nasdaq gains could translate into renewed buying pressure for Bitcoin.
However, analysts caution that any macroeconomic turbulence or prolonged government dysfunction could dampen momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin price toward lower support levels near $96,000, or even $93,000 in extreme scenarios.
Bitcoin price technical models
Data-driven models also indicate that Bitcoin price’s next bear market may be shallower than previous cycles. Metrics such as the MVRV ratio and the rising cost of production suggest structural support in the $55,000–$70,000 range, providing confidence that retracements may be less severe than in past cycles. While cyclical patterns persist, institutional adoption and market maturity are gradually reshaping volatility dynamics.
Looking ahead, traders and investors will be watching key resistance levels closely. Short-term gains may encounter hurdles at $109,400 and $111,000, but a sustained push above $116,000 could unlock a broader bullish trend toward the top of the broadening wedge pattern around $129,000.