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    Home»Stock Market»Stock Market Today Highlights, Sept 22: Sensex falls 330 pts, Nifty closes at 23,329; oil slips to $98.9 ahead of potential US-Iran talks
    Stock Market

    Stock Market Today Highlights, Sept 22: Sensex falls 330 pts, Nifty closes at 23,329; oil slips to $98.9 ahead of potential US-Iran talks

    September 21, 20269 Mins Read


    Jefferies on Adani Enterprises

    Buy, TP ₹3830

    Forum takeaways

    Mgmt highlighted AEL’s incubation-to-value-unlocking model, with Airports and Data Centers emerging as key growth pillars.

    Airports are nearing an earnings inflection, driven by Navi Mumbai ramp-up, higher nonaero monetisation and city-side development, while AI is expanding the opportunity for Adani ConneX. Recent capital raises leave AEL well positioned to fund its next growth phase.

    *Jefferies on JSW Cement*

    Buy, TP ₹150

    Forum takeaways

    Mgmt reiterated its ambitious capacity expansion plan from 24MTPA to 68MTPA, supported by ample limestone reserves & BS discipline.

    GGBS (~40% of vols) continues to provide earnings stability.

    North ops are scaling up rapidly and targeting EBITDA breakeven by Sep-26.

    Margin improvement is expected to be driven by cost optimisation.

    Mgmt also reflected on strong UAE market trends.

    *Jefferies on Polycab*

    Buy TP ₹11100

    Power is est. 40-45% of its C&W demand; Power generation, renewable energy, T&D network are key drivers.

    While demand is healthy, Q2-Q3FY26 volume base of LY is high.

    At 5-7% industry NPM, competition lowering prices may not be sustainable in medium term

    Cables require certifications for usage, durability (longer gestation).

    Amid Ultravolt launch, Polycab is down ~17% from Jun26-peak, now at ~35x 1Y fwd PE,-7% below hist 5-Y avg

    *Jefferies on Blue Star*

    Hold, TP ₹1635

    Rising input costs continue to exert margin pressure in Q2 as well (commodities, weak INR).

    But margin is est to recover in H2, led by potential price hikes and cost-cutting.

    SeptQ LY is a weak base (GST led demand deferment)

    Est BLSTR’s DC biz to contribute ~20% of sales by FY29e vs ~10% in FY27e.

    At 47x 1Y fwd PE, it trades +7% above hist 5Y avg PE.

    *Jefferies on ITC Hotels*

    Buy, TP Rs 210

    Forum takeaways

    Co is boosting its asset-light mix, targeting 2/3 managed keys (vs ~60% today) as inventory grows from ~14,300 to ~22,000, supporting margin and ROCE expansion.

    Op metrics at Sri Lanka property continue to improve, aiding consolidated ROCE.

    Mgmt expects sustained rev performance, supported by strong domestic leisure demand & favourable supply-demand dynamics, particularly in supply-constrained metro markets.

    Jefferies on Leela Hotels

    Buy, TP Rs 675

    Forum takeaways

    Mgmt remains constructive on India’s luxury hospitality, driven by domestic tourism more than offsetting FTAs & demand exceeding supply growth.

    Leela’s ~1,100-key announced pipeline is skewed to owned assets, with multiple attractive markets still untapped.

    Non-room revenues, club & wellness are emerging growth drivers.

    Mgmt reiterated confidence in its ₹20bn FY30 EBITDA ambition (implies 25%+ CAGR over FY26-FY30e).

    CLSA on Juniper Hotels

    O-P, TP ₹430

    Juniper Hotels is entering its next leg of growth as an owner and developer of big-box luxury assets.

    It is doubling its operational portfolio from 1,895 keys in FY26 to 3,941 keys (including 600 brownfield) by FY31, mainly in the luxury and upper upscale segments.

    With its capacity expansion and supported by industry tailwinds and ARR gap vs. peers, estimate a revenue/PAT Cagr of 15%/30% over FY26-29

    Lower 27CL revenue to reflect delayed hotel openings

    UBS on GAIL

    Buy, TP raised to ₹215

    Transmission momentum & commodity cycle to drive earnings upgrade

    Expect next round of consensus earnings upgrades to be led by transmission, as resilient domestic gas demand and healthy LNG arrivals support higher pipeline volume in upcoming quarters

    Forecast transmission to contribute 45%/52% of stand-alone segment EBITDA in FY27/FY28, reinforcing its position as key driver of GAIL’s increasingly structural earnings profile

    Its commodity businesses could provide additional upside, as subdued Henry Hub prices keep petchem feedstock cost lower, while higher crude oil prices drive strong margins for gas

    trading, petchem and LPG businesses

    Raise FY27E/FY28E consolidated EBITDA 16%/3%.

    Still value GAIL at 12.0x FY28E consolidated PE, implying 10.2x EV/EBITDA for transmission business

    UBS on Meesho

    Buy, TP Raised to ₹260

    Raise FY29-31 NMV estimates by 7-18%, with a similar increase in contribution profit estimates and a 20-40% increase in EBITDA estimates.

    Higher NMV forecasts reflect continued flywheel from sellers (+81% YoY to 1.04mn in Q1FY27), buyers (+29% YoY to 274mn), coupled with rapid expansion in

    SKUs and logistics partners

    Larger increase in EBITDA reflects a stronger mediumterm margin trajectory, driven by improving ads monetisation and logistics economics

    Kotak Inst Eqt on Indo MIM

    Initiate Reduce TP ₹1110

    INDO-MIM’s diversified precision manufacturing platform across MIM, casting and machining is well positioned to benefit from aerospace, defense and electronics localization

    MIM leadership, consumer electronics growth and rising aerospace content support long-term growth, while strong cash generation and available capacity provide room for expansion.

    Kotak Inst Eqt on Mankind Pharma

    Upgrade to Buy, TP ₹3000

    After a prolonged restructuring impact, Mankind’s base domestic business is finally showing tangible signs of recovery.

    Following 12.7% yoy secondary sales growth in 1QFY27, there has been a further uptick in July/August with Mankind reporting 14.6% yoy growth, outpacing the IPM by 120 bps.

    Market shares of most key ex-BSV and BSV brands have improved

    With field force stability and a step-up in R&D, new launches, along with volumes, should pick up too

    Expect Mankind to report a robust ~23% EPS CAGR over FY2026-29E.

    HSBC on Lupin

    Buy, TP cut to ₹2500 from ₹2770

    Current price overemphasizes known concentration risk while undermining the lineup of US launches

    After a base reset for US sales in FY27, think new launches can sustain US sales of cUSD1.2bn in FY27-29e

    Traction continues for India and other ex-US segments

    *CITI on Kotak Bk*

    Buy, TP Rs 465

    Management meet takeaways

    [1] KMIL merger (2% of loans) and FCNR-B deposit mobilization will expand the balance sheet;

    [2]FCNR-B utilization – Active liability optimization via repayment of high-cost wholesale deposits/borrowings; near-term surplus parked in treasury investments and short-term lending; over coming quarters to be efficiently deployed into higher-yielding, risk-adjusted assets;

    [3] Asset quality remains reassuring, with no stress evident in retail or SME portfolios; personal loan stress has normalized; only transient residual stress left in retail CV/CE;

    [4] Growth engines remain resilient, with SME expanding over 20%, MFI on track, and credit cards returning to positive growth, complemented by a high-yielding Rs100bn real estate book from the KMIL merger and steady LAP growth.

    *CLSA on IT*

    Indian IT co management demand commentary going into the silent 2Q27 period remains cautious at best.

    Due to weak macro fundamentals impacted by geopolitics, higher rates and inflation, discretionary demand remains muted implying more EPS downside risk particularly for INFY and Wipro. TCS too maintained a cautious stance while HCL’s demand commentary remained the most resilient.

    Order books and employee headcounts will remain largely stable negating extreme negative repercussions of AI rollouts on renewed deals and IT jobs

    BFSI vertical, thankfully, continues to see resilient demand despite recent trading and IB revenue warnings by BoFA and FICC revenue from GS

    Maintain HLD on TCS, INFY and HCL and U-PF rating on Wipro with more downside risk to FY27CL EPS.

    *GS on Sansera*

    Buy, TP Raised to Rs 4990 from Rs4500

    Global semiconductor capital equipment manufacturers, Applied Materials & LAM Research announced US$5bn and US$1.2bn investments

    in India respectively to develop local supplier ecosystems & expand their R&D presence in India

    View both entities as potential longer term growth contributors to Sansera’s higher margin ADS component supply business, especially in context of Sansera’s recent large

    semiconductor order win from an existing customer to tune of US$180mn announced in Aug 2026

    Increases FY29E EPS, to partially factor in upside potential from this incremental development

    *MS on Coal India*

    Upgrade to OW, TP Raised to Rs 480

    Accelerating thermal power demand, sharply de-stocked plant inventories, & rising global thermal coal prices are set up for volume and e-auction premium expansion

    These factors should drive strong earnings upgrades & in turn, stock performance over next few months

    Revise volumes and e-auction premium estimates, driving a 20% upgrade to F27 EPS estimate.

    At 6.6x one year forward P/E, stock is trading around long-term averages

    Expect this multiple to sustain on back of strong earnings upgrades

    *Macquarie on GMR Airports*

    O-P TP Rs 120

    Telecom Disputes Settlement and Appellate Tribunal (TDSAT) has allowed DIAL’s appeal against AERA’s 4th Control Period tariff order, delivering a favourable outcome across key tariff building blocks.

    It also directed AERA to implement prior TDSAT rulings unless stayed by the Supreme Court (SC), reinforcing regulatory certainty.

    While see judgment as materially positive for DIAL’s cash flows and tariff recovery framework, expect AERA to challenge ruling before SC.

    *Bernstein on NTPC Green*

    Upgrade to Market-perform from Underperform; TP at Rs 85 

    Execution misses priced-in 

    See low cost of debt & grid connectivity a strength 

    Big aspirations backed by parent capital

    *Bofa on Physicswallah*

    Recommendation: Underperform, Target: ₹110

    Leading online franchise; Valuation ahead of fundamentals 

    All eyes on offline execution; AI/K12 optionality & risks 

    Full marks to online, butterfly effect in offline 

    See downside risks to consensus

    *CLSA on LG India*

    Recommendation: Outperform, Target: ₹1865

    Broad based growth guidance reiterated 

    Premiumisation continues; strong guidance maintained 

    Higher export profitability could emerge as a meaningful driver of both earnings and margin accretion

    *Jefferies on TBO Tek*

    Recommendation: Buy, Target: ₹1905

    Growth outlook remains robust despite near term disruption 

    Navigating Middle East disruption well 

    Oplev to drive faster earnings growth 

    Classic acquisition opens up a larger luxury travel opportunity 

    AI to augment, not replace, the travel-agent model 

    Wholesale business provides a stable growth foundation

    *JPMorgan on L&T*

    Recommendation: Overweight, Target: ₹5060

    Gearing For Growth

    Execution in the Middle East continues without any major disruptions 

    Customers are by and large accommodating cost increases due to the impact of the conflict 

    L&T continues to focus on deepening its strong relationships with customers through this turbulent period 

    In India, public capex should pick up after a period of consolidation 

    Private corporate capex has achieved traction, led by large order wins in thermal power 

    Plans to enter into new areas of data centers, green energy and electronic manufacturing and aims to double defense revenue by 2031 

    L&T is being positioned for mid-teens growth with healthy RoE in traditional and emerging areas 

    Valuation at <25x P/E is attractive and L&T remains preferred pick

    *Morgan Stanley on Cement* 

    Cement – renewed risks of cost inflation 

    With Middle East conflict ongoing, we see renewed risk of a higher for longer cost cycle 

    Compounding the concerns is below normal monsoon which could weigh on rural demand 

    Companies might see Rs 150-200/tonne increase in cost and will require Rs 10-15/bag price hike

    *Morgan Stanley on India Consumer* 

    Staples: YoY revenue growth momentum will likely remain strong across most players 

    Believe the market will focus on 2-year CAGR volume growth trends, and EBITDA growth given inflationary pressures 

    Prefer names with better medium-term growth visibility, such as Marico and Tata Consumer 

    With growth momentum likely to continue, see potential for near-term outperformance from Nestle 

    Discretionary & Retail: Most players could see some impact from a shift in the festive calendar 

    Expect demand momentum to remain broadly stable 

    Topline growth momentum will remain the key driver for stock performance 

    Titan remains preferred pick 

    In the near term, a recovery in topline growth should drive stock outperformance for Page 

    Paints: Believe the higher near-term topline growth trend is already in the price, but commodity volatility will add to headwinds 

    Prefer to avoid Paint stocks



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