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    Home»Property»Home prices in China’s biggest cities stabilise under Beijing’s stimulus measures
    Property

    Home prices in China’s biggest cities stabilise under Beijing’s stimulus measures

    January 17, 20254 Mins Read


    New home prices across mainland China in December registered the smallest month-on-month decline since June 2023, propelled by Beijing’s stimulus package.

    However, it would be some time before the country’s significant property sector saw a strong recovery, because developers still had a large inventory to clear, analysts said.

    Last month, prices of newly built homes in the mainland’s 70 major cities edged down 0.08 per cent from November, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Friday. It was the first time in a year and a half that home prices in China stayed nearly unchanged, amid a property slump that wiped out an estimated US$18 trillion of Chinese household wealth since 2021.

    Do you have questions about the biggest topics and trends from around the world? Get the answers with SCMP Knowledge, our new platform of curated content with explainers, FAQs, analyses and infographics brought to you by our award-winning team.

    In the four top-tier cities – Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen – prices rose 0.2 per cent month on month.

    “Reduced mortgage rates and lower thresholds for non-local residents to buy flats in the most developed cities fuelled homebuying interest,” said Zhu Xinhai, a sales manager with Shanghai-based 5i5j Real Estate Brokerage. “A release of pent-up housing demand turned out to be the major driving force in late 2024.”

    December was the fourth straight month that the decline in home prices in the 70 cities narrowed, after the central government and local authorities rolled out a series of incentives to bail out the embattled real estate industry.

    Meanwhile, lived-in home prices in the same set of cities dropped 0.31 per cent from a month earlier in December, compared with a 0.35 per cent decline in November, NBS data showed.

    The property sector and related industries, such as home appliances and construction materials, account for about a quarter of China’s economic output.

    An agent speaks with potential buyers near a scale model of residential buildings at a property fair in Shenzhen on October 12, 2024. Photo: Reuters alt=An agent speaks with potential buyers near a scale model of residential buildings at a property fair in Shenzhen on October 12, 2024. Photo: Reuters>

    The country’s property market, following three decades of breakneck growth, began retreating in late 2020 when Beijing implemented austerity measures to rein in excessive leverage among the nation’s developers and prevent a ­financial shock to the economy.

    Since October 2021 dozens of developers, such as China Evergrande Group and Country Garden Holdings, defaulted on loans and bonds while many people refrained from buying both newly built and second-­hand homes.

    A recent estimate by Barclays showed that the mainland’s property crisis cost Chinese households US$18 trillion in wealth, surpassing the losses suffered by Americans during the subprime lending crisis in 2008 and 2009.

    In September, the People’s Bank of China required commercial lenders to reduce mortgage rates by half a point, lightening the loan burden by 150 billion yuan (US$20.5 billion) annually.

    Echoing Beijing’s call to propel the real estate sector, local governments including Shanghai and Shenzhen also relaxed homebuying restrictions on October 1, expanding access to more residents.

    In Shanghai, people from other parts of the mainland who have paid taxes to the local authorities for 12 months are now eligible to own a flat in the mainland’s financial and commercial hub. In the past, the ­eligibility rule was three years.

    The cities also lowered the ­minimum down-payment ratios for homebuyers.

    The country’s developers have an inventory of 2 billion square metres (21.5 billion sq ft) of new homes, which could take about 31 months to digest based on the current pace of sales, according to John Lam, a UBS analyst.

    Earlier this week, Country Garden reported that its net loss for the first half of 2024 narrowed to 12.8 billion yuan from 48.9 billion yuan a year earlier. The Foshan-based company also said its revenue for the first half of 2024 fell 55 per cent from a year earlier to about 102 billion yuan.

    Once China’s largest property developer by sales, Country Garden had US$16.4 billion in offshore debt as of December 2023. On January 9, the company said it had reached an agreement with its lenders to trim its debt by up to US$11.6 billion.

    This article originally appeared in the South China Morning Post (SCMP), the most authoritative voice reporting on China and Asia for more than a century. For more SCMP stories, please explore the SCMP app or visit the SCMP’s Facebook and Twitter pages. Copyright © 2025 South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.

    Copyright (c) 2025. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.





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