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    Home»Investing»AMD Stock Hits Record: 2 Major Factors Behind the Rise
    Investing

    AMD Stock Hits Record: 2 Major Factors Behind the Rise

    October 24, 20254 Mins Read


    ’ stock reached an all-time high of $243.11 on October 24, 2025, marking a remarkable 90% surge year-to-date and pushing its market capitalization beyond $381 billion. The chipmaker’s explosive rally has positioned it as a formidable competitor in the semiconductor industry, with shares briefly touching $238 in mid-October before settling near $235.

    This unprecedented growth has far outpaced the broader semiconductor sector and reflects a fundamental shift in ’s competitive positioning within the AI infrastructure market.

    1. Major Deals With OpenAI and Oracle Cement AMD’s Role in AI Infrastructure

    AMD’s stock experienced its largest single-day gain since 2016 on October 6, surging 34% and adding approximately $80 billion to its market value following the announcement of two transformative AI partnerships. The first deal involves supplying graphics processing units to OpenAI to power 6 gigawatts of computing capacity, while the second agreement with Oracle Cloud commits to deploying 50,000 of AMD’s next-generation MI450 Instinct GPUs starting in Q3 2026.

    These contracts are projected to generate tens of billions in annual revenue, with cumulative sales potentially exceeding $100 billion according to company statements.

    The partnerships represent a significant validation of AMD’s technology in the competitive AI chip market, where currently commands a 90–94% share of the data center GPU segment. AMD’s CFO Jean Hu emphasized that the OpenAI agreement should deliver tens of billions in revenue and be highly accretive to future earnings.

    Analysts at Wedbush estimate that each gigawatt of AI capacity could translate to approximately $20 billion in AMD sales, underscoring the massive scale of these opportunities.

    Wall Street’s response has been overwhelmingly positive, with multiple firms raising their price targets into the $250–$310 range. Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya increased his 12-month target to $300, while HSBC set an even more aggressive $310 target.

    Morgan Stanley raised its 2027 revenue forecast for AMD to $51.2 billion from $44.2 billion, reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to capture meaningful share in the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure market.

    2. Strong Financial Performance and Growing AI Revenue Mix

    AMD’s fundamental financial performance has provided solid backing for the stock rally, with the company reporting Q2 2025 revenue of $7.69 billion, representing 32% year-over-year growth. The chipmaker guided Q3 2025 revenue to approximately $8.7 billion, indicating sustained momentum with 20% year-over-year growth, and full-year 2025 sales targets now approach $33 billion.

    Notably, AI-related products now account for 21% of AMD’s total revenue, up from prior quarters, demonstrating the company’s successful pivot toward high-growth data center and AI computing markets.

    CEO Lisa Su credited product rollouts for contributing to the company’s robust performance, with data center revenue specifically hitting $3.2 billion with 14% growth in recent quarters. The company has also benefited from impressive revenue growth of 27.17% over the past year, though investors should note that AMD faces a $1.5 billion revenue headwind in 2025 from U.S. export restrictions on AI chip shipments to China.

    Despite this challenge, the company’s beta of 1.89 indicates higher volatility but also greater potential for outsized returns.

    The stock’s valuation metrics present a mixed picture for investors. AMD currently trades at a P/E ratio of 140.52 on a trailing basis and around 40 times expected 2026 earnings, which represents a premium compared to Nvidia’s roughly 30 times multiple.

    According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock’s RSI indicates overbought territory, suggesting investors should monitor valuations carefully. However, approximately 60–65% of analysts now rate AMD as a Buy with a consensus target of $249.92, up from roughly 50% earlier in the year, reflecting growing confidence in the company’s execution despite rich valuations.

    ***

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