Fundamental
Overview
Bitcoin has been rallying
steadily in the last few weeks as Trump winning odds continued to soar in
betting markets. The price eventually consolidated around a key trendline as
the market might want to wait for the election result now before breaking out.
A Trump victory is seen as
bullish for Bitcoin given his embracement of the crypto industry and promised de-regulation.
Harris, on the other hand, did embraced the industry as well, but it’s been
more of a political move to attract voters rather than a strong support.
Bitcoin
Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Bitcoin Daily
On the daily chart, we can
see that Bitcoin is trading near a key long term downward trendline
that’s been defining the consolidation that started in March. The buyers will
want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish bets into a new
all-time high, while the sellers will likely lean on it to position for a
pullback into the upward minor trendline.
Bitcoin Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe
Bitcoin 4 hour
On the 4 hour chart, we can
see that the price is consolidating around the highs as the market is probably waiting
for the US election result. From a risk management perspective, the buyers will
have a better risk to reward setup around the minor upward trendline where they
will also find the Fibonacci
retracement levels for confluence.
The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking below the trendline
to increase the bearish bets into new lows.
Bitcoin Technical
Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe
Bitcoin 1 hour
On the 1 hour chart, we can
see that we have another minor upward trendline defining the bullish momentum
on this timeframe. The buyers will likely keep on leaning on it to position for
further upside, while the sellers will look for a break lower to increase the
bearish bets into the major upward trendline around the 64K level. The red
lines define the average daily range for today.
Upcoming
Catalysts
Tomorrow we have the US Job Openings and the US Consumer Confidence report. On
Wednesday, we get the US ADP and the US GDP. On Thursday, we have the US PCE,
the US Jobless Claims and the US Employment Cost Index data. Finally, on
Friday, we conclude the week with the US NFP and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI.