Bitcoin, having plummeted from its all-time high of $126,000 per bitcoin to under $100,000 in just one month, has found a floor at $94,000 (just as Wall Street giant JPMorgan reveals a major bitcoin bet).
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The bitcoin price, which has struggled to maintain momentum since rocketing higher on U.S. president Donald Trump’s election victory last year, has been sidelined by gold through 2025, with fears swirling a bitcoin price crash nightmare could be suddenly coming true.
Now, as stock markets wobble after a surprise warning light began flashing, bitcoin and crypto traders are betting on the Trump administration unleashing “a tsunami” of spending in 2026 as Trump confirms his $2,000 tariff “dividend” will be distributed next year.
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U.S. president Donald Trump has cofirmed a stimulus check-style tariff dividend will be coming in 2026—something that many expect to help unleash a “tsunami” of cash on the crypto market and bitcoin price.
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This week, Trump told reporters the $2,000 payments would come “sometime next year, during the year,” adding, “we’ve taken in a lot of money from tariffs. The tariffs allow us to give a dividend,” Forbes reported.
Earlier this month, Trump’s planned tariff dividend was hailed as repeat of the Covid-era stimulus checks that propelled the bitcoin price, crypto and stock markets higher.
“A dividend of at least $2,000 a person (not including high income people!) will be paid to everyone,” Trump posted to his Truth Social account, adding those against his controversial trade tariffs are “fools” and the U.S. is taking in “trillions of dollars and will soon begin paying down our enormous” $37 trillion debt.
However, Treasury secretary Scott Bessent has somewhat watered down Trump’s promises, suggesting the payment “could come in lots of forms,” including tax cuts that are already part of Trump’s signature One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
Bullish bitcoin and crypto traders are though still betting the on the U.S. government trying to spend its way out of a debt crisis, spurring economic activity and technological developments in what Tesla billionaire Elon Musk believes is “the only way to get us out of the debt crisis and to prevent America from going bankrupt.”
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The bitcoin price has fallen sharply from its October peak, though bitcoin price bulls remain confident of the Trump-powered recovery in 2026.
Forbes Digital Assets
“The flood gates are now being opened,” investor and market-watcher Mel Mattison posted to X, adding he expects the Trump administration to “unleash a tsunami of fiscal largess in coming quarters,” and pointing to the Republican Party’s desire to win the 2026 November mid-terms as a reason to juice markets.
Mattison pointed to the recent sell-off period as being “one of the driest periods for fiscal liquidity in months if not years,” noting, “the fact that markets and bitcoin are still up where they are is incredible.”
Others have also pointed to a return to more liquid market conditions as helping to support the bitcoin price in coming months.
“Bitcoin enters 2026 as one of the most closely watched and unpredictable assets in global markets,” Ion Jauregui, an analyst at ActivTrades, said in emailed comments.
“Much of bitcoin’s future will hinge on macroeconomic conditions, including central bank policies, liquidity, and investor sentiment. A more accommodative global monetary environment could spark renewed risk appetite, favoring digital assets, while tightening measures or regulatory crackdowns could trigger sharp pullbacks.”