Silver at Double-Vibration Support Ahead of Gann Time Cluster

The Aug 7 high at $38.875 acts as the immediate time anchor for our short-term Gann projections. From this pivot, we count forward along harmonic intervals — 5, 7, 9, 11, and 13 trading days — to forecast potential inflection points.

• Aug 12 (5 days) → Often the “first test” reaction date after a swing high; can mark either the exhaustion of a pullback or the start of an acceleration lower.
• Aug 14 (7 days) → Stronger time vibration; frequently aligns with short-term swing lows or highs in metals.
• Aug 16–20 (9–13 days) → Deeper cyclical echoes, often producing countertrend moves within a developing leg.

Price Structure via Square of 9:
From the recent swing low ($36.76) and swing high ($38.875), the Square of 9 produces harmonic levels where geometric rotations converge:

• $37.82 → Double-vibration level from both high and low projections; current market battleground.
• $37.29 → Deeper support and potential “flush” target if $37.82 fails.
• $38.38 and $38.98 → Upside vibration zones if the bulls can defend the current support and regain momentum.

Short-term takeaway: Between Aug 12 and Aug 14, price is likely to declare its intent — hold $37.82 and turn higher, or break down toward $37.29.

Macro (BCBA:) 360-Day Gann Cycle Context

While the short-term framework tells us “what’s next,” the 360-day Gann cycle defines where we are in the broader market year. Our major anchor here is the Sept 28, 2024 low, which began the current annual cycle.

Key macro cycle dates:

• Dec 27, 2024 (90 days) → First quarterly swing, which acted as a pivot base for the next rally.
• Mar 27, 2025 (180 days) → Mid-year cycle; coincided with a notable consolidation.
• Jun 25, 2025 (270 days) → Preceded the summer breakout that took silver to its Aug 7 peak.
• Sept 23, 2025 (360 days) → Full-year completion; historically a major reversal or acceleration window.

Macro takeaway: The Aug 12–14 short-term cluster sits firmly in the final quadrant of the yearly cycle — the phase where markets often display volatility spikes and false breaks before the larger September turning point.

Time–Price Confluence Across Scales

One of Gann’s most important lessons: The strongest market turns occur when short-term and long-term cycles align with price harmonics.

• Time: Short-term window (Aug 12–14) falls less than 6 weeks before the macro 360-day pivot (Sept 23). This is the “setup zone” for the final move into that major date.
• Price: Current trade at $37.82 is not just a daily pivot; it’s a double-vibration level on the Square of 9 and sits just above Fibonacci 61.8% retracement ($37.56).
• Rhythm: The market is oscillating between well-defined vibration points ($37.29–$38.38), creating a compression ahead of an expansion.

When short-term time cycles enter resonance with the late stage of a yearly cycle, the result is often a sharp and decisive move — either a final surge before a macro top or a deep washout to set up the next bull leg.

Strategic Implications

• Bullish Scenario: Hold $37.82 into Aug 12–14, produce a reversal pattern → run toward $38.38 and $38.98, possibly retesting Aug 7 high before the Sept macro turn.
• Bearish Scenario: Break and close under $37.56 before Aug 12 → flush to $37.29, with risk of acceleration if support fails, possibly into an early September low.

Bottom Line

Silver is standing on a mathematically significant node — a double vibration in price and a cycle cluster in time — just ahead of the final quadrant of its annual rhythm. This is precisely the type of setup where Gann would watch for decisive signals, as the market’s next move is likely to set the tone into the September 23 macro pivot.

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