1: Does the Bitcoin 4-year cycle still matter?
The 4-year cycle still matters, but it no longer acts as a reliable timing tool because other forces now influence price more strongly.
2: Why did Bitcoin not surge immediately after the 2024 halving?
ETF flows, high interest rates, and cautious global liquidity limited demand despite the reduced supply after the halving.
3: How do Bitcoin ETFs affect price movement?
Bitcoin ETFs allow large institutions to move capital in and out quickly, creating sharp price moves that can override halving trends.
4: What price range looks realistic in the near term?
Bitcoin could trade in a wide range as markets balance institutional demand, macro conditions, and investor sentiment.
5: What should investors watch instead of the cycle alone?
ETF inflows and outflows, global liquidity, interest rates, and market sentiment now offer clearer signals than cycle timing alone.