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    Home»Bitcoin»Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Surge as Historical Bullish Signal Returns — Can BTC Hit a New All-Time High?
    Bitcoin

    Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Surge as Historical Bullish Signal Returns — Can BTC Hit a New All-Time High?

    August 9, 20255 Mins Read


    The Bitcoin market is once again gaining traction as it is experiencing major technical indicators and macro events. The optimism has been boosted by the nomination of pro-Bitcoin economist Stephen Miran by President Donald Trump to the Federal Reserve Board. The revival of historical trends, including the golden cross, and changes in policies have increased the attention to the mid-term prospects of Bitcoin.

    Analysts Eye Golden Cross Repetition For Potential Bitcoin Price Surge

    According to Merlijn The Trader, a market analyst, Bitcoin recently printed a golden cross on the weekly chart — a pattern he describes as “the signal that never misses.” He points out that the past golden crosses in 2016, 2017, and 2020 were accompanied by rallies of 139%, 2200%, and 1190% respectively. According to him, the same setup is taking shape in 2025 with the same structure and traction. 

    Such continuity in history has prompted him to indicate that the signal may again serve as rocket fuel. Therefore, the long term Bitcoin price forecast has turned increasingly optimistic as this pattern reappears.

    BTC/USD 1-Week Chart (Source: X/Merlijn The Trader)

    On the daily chart, Bitcoin is trading above an ascending trendline support that has so far held since April. The price just rebounded off about the $112K mark and is currently trading around the $116K mark with the $117.5K as the immediate resistance at around 0.236 Fib level. 

    A breakout above this zone could pave way to $121K and $123.8K that represent the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci extension respectively. RSI is at 53, which is a neutral momentum and not overbought. 

    But a failure to maintain above the trendline may provoke a correction to the level of $112K. Thus, the future direction of Bitcoin depends on whether bulls will be able to sustain above this pivotal structure.

    BTC/USD 1-Day Chart (Source: TradingView)

    Is the Bitcoin Bull Run Over Or There Is Another Rally Ahead

    On-chain metrics add more weight to the bullish narrative as well, with the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) ratio hitting new a high at 154. This metric shows that Bitcoin is becoming scarcer and is generally a sign of solid demand cycles. 

    At the same time, the MVRV Z-score, at 2.667, is not overheated yet, indicating that it has the potential to grow without indicating the maximum market risk. These conditions are commonly observed during early expansion stages. 

    Therefore, on-chain fundamentals support a positive long-term outlook. Together with macro and technical indicators, the current position of Bitcoin indicates the possible convergence of another significant rally.

    Bitcoin On-chain metrics (Source: Santiment)

    In conclusion, as bullish signals flash all over the board, Bitcoin seems to be on another possible breakout. The golden cross, macro policy changes and robust on-chain patterns offer support in layers. But the support of key trendline levels is still crucial in confirming the next leg up. If these conditions continue, Bitcoin price may be setting up for a big move in the coming months.

    • Trump’s Fed Nominee Boosts Pro-Crypto Policy Outlook

    The nomination of Stephen Miran, a known Bitcoin supporter, to the Federal Reserve Board gave pro-crypto sentiment a boost. The stance taken by Miran is in favor of rate cuts and the use of digital assets, which is in line with the expectations of investors to have a more crypto-friendly policy environment. 

    In the past, looser monetary conditions have been beneficial to Bitcoin and other risk assets, particularly at the beginning of a bull cycle. This nomination is an addition to the existing bullish structure, which offers possible macro support to the Bitcoin direction. 

    Hence, policy changes may serve as a tailwind in Q4. This has been viewed by traders as a robust complement to technical momentum.

    Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

    The golden cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day MA, historically preceding strong Bitcoin rallies.

    Stephen Miran is a pro-Bitcoin economist nominated by Donald Trump, signaling potential for crypto-friendly monetary policy.

    S2F shows rising scarcity while MVRV remains elevated but not overheated, suggesting bullish but sustainable momentum.

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    coingape

    Coingape Staff

    CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.

    Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

    Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.

    Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.



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